全球 41%两栖动物面临威胁,保护成果指明未来方向

一项新的全球综述整合了两栖动物保护状况评估和几十年的研究成果。该综述揭示了两栖动物保护状况的最新趋势,并概述了优先保护行动。研究结果强调了两栖动物数量下降的惊人速度,但也凸显了保护工作初见成效的积极迹象。作者强调,协调国际行动对于确保全球蛙类、蝾螈和蚓螈的未来至关重要。

https://www.nature.com/articles/s44358-025-00101-5

两栖动物仍然面临着前所未有的高灭绝风险,其中41%的物种被归类为受威胁物种。主要威胁因素包括栖息地丧失、气候变化、疾病、污染和入侵物种。由Amaël Borzée教授牵头撰写的《Conservation Priorities for Global Amphibian Biodiversity》,对全球两栖动物保护工作的进展、种群趋势和政策措施进行了迄今为止最全面的综述。


威胁状态的时空变化。a,1980–2004 年物种濒危等级变化(517 种),基于第二次全球两栖动物评估(GAA2)的回溯数据;b,2004–2022 年物种濒危等级变化(392 种),基于 GAA2 的回溯数据。

自1980年以来,数百种两栖动物的保护状况持续恶化,其中37个物种现已确认灭绝,另外185个物种消失并可能已灭绝。疾病是导致许多两栖动物衰退的主要因素,也是保护工作面临的关键挑战。然而,该综述也强调了有意义的进展,即由于有效的栖息地保护、针对性管理和专门的恢复计划,120个物种的保护状况已有所改善。

实验室开展的部分研究示例,用于帮助了解东北亚两栖动物的种群变化趋势,以及如何减缓种群损失。

事实证明,全球优先排序工具,如受威胁两栖动物景观(TAL)、高度受威胁属关键生物多样性区域,对于指导战略投资、确定优先保护地点和物种至关重要,而全球两栖动物保护行动计划《 Amphibian Conservation Action Plan》为可行方法提供了证据。这些工具有助于确保将有限的资源用于产生最大保护效益的地方。同时,IUCN红色名录指数物种绿色状况指数等生物多样性指标继续推动我们对保护进展和物种恢复潜力的理解。

自 1980 年以来,有 63 个物种的濒危等级下降(部分基于回溯评估),这归功于保护措施的成效。等级下降 1 级(红色)表示濒危等级改善一个等级,等级下降 2 级(蓝色)表示改善两个等级,等级下降 3 级(黄色)表示改善三个等级。图中绿色区域显示等级下降物种的分布位置。

尽管部分物种保护状况的改善证明了有针对性的保护行动具有恢复物种状况的潜力,但作者提醒,目前的保护努力仍然不足。长期成功需要与全球承诺(包括《昆明-蒙特利尔全球生物多样性框架》)相一致的保护行动。只有通过加强政府、保护组织、研究机构和当地社区之间的合作,我们才能扭转全球两栖动物的衰退趋势,使其从危机走向恢复。

41% of amphibians at risk, but conservation successes show a path forward

A new global review synthesises conservation status assessments and decades of amphibian conservation research to reveal the latest trends in conservation status and outline priority actions for their protection. The findings underscore the alarming rate of declines, but also highlight promising signs of recovery where conservation is working. The authors stress that coordinated international action is essential to secure the future of frogs, salamanders, newts, and caecilians worldwide.

https://www.nature.com/articles/s44358-025-00101-5

Amphibians continue to face an unprecedented high extinction risk, with 41% of species classified as threatened. The main drivers of threat include habitat loss, climate change, disease, pollution, and invasive species. The new review “Conservation Priorities for Global Amphibian Biodiversity“, led by Prof. Amaël Borzée, presents the most comprehensive synthesis to date of conservation progress, population trends, and policy measures guiding amphibian protection efforts worldwide.

Extract showing temporal and regional variation in threat status. a, Category changes
from 1980 to 2004 using backcast categories from the second Global Amphibian
Assessment (GAA2) (517 species). b, Category changes from 2004 to 2022 using
backcast categories from the GAA2 (392 species).

Since 1980, the conservation status of hundreds of amphibians has worsened, with 37 species now confirmed extinct, and another 185 have disappeared and are potentially extinct. Disease has been the primary driver behind many of these declines and remains a critical challenge for conservation efforts. Yet the review also highlights meaningful progress: the conservation status of 120 species has improved, thanks to effective habitat protection, targeted management, and dedicated recovery programs.

Example of some of the research conducted by the lab to help understand the population trends in amphibians in northeast Asia, and how to mitigate the losses.

Global prioritisation tools, such as Threatened Amphibian Landscapes (TAL), Highly Threatened Genera, and Key Biodiversity Areas, are proving essential for guiding strategic investment and identifying priority sites and species for action, and the global Amphibian Conservation Action Plan provides evidence for methods that work. These tools help ensure that limited resources are focused where they will deliver the greatest conservation impact. Meanwhile, biodiversity indicators such as the IUCN Red List Index and the Green Status of Species Index continue to advance our understanding of conservation progress and the potential for species recovery.

While improvements in the conservation status of some species demonstrate the potential for recovery with targeted conservation action, the authors caution that current efforts remain insufficient. Long-term success will require conservation actions that align with global commitments, including the Kunming–Montreal Global Biodiversity Framework. Only through strengthened collaboration between governments, conservation organisations, research institutions, and local communities can we shift amphibians worldwide from crisis toward recovery.

How to make agriculture sustainable with amphibians and reptiles?

A question that led to our recent publication in the journal Royal Society Open Science.

As the need for sustainable pest management grows, integrating animal cognition into biological control presents an innovative and effective approach. In our recent paper, “Biological pest regulation can benefit from diverse predation modes”, we explore the critical role of amphibians and reptiles in natural pest regulation, emphasising the cognitive mechanisms that drive their foraging behaviour.

Amphibians and reptiles, with their diverse predation strategies—ambush and active foraging—are key to efficient pest control. These species exhibit distinct cognitive traits, from perception and learning to spatial memory, all of which influence their interaction with prey. For instance, ambush predators rely heavily on movement cues, waiting for mobile prey, while active foragers actively seek out food, utilising olfactory and spatial cues to navigate their environment.

Overview of the concept showing the difference in foraging mode between active and ambush predators impacting biological pest regulation (with amphibians as the model bioregulator). More here: 10.1098/rsos.240535

By understanding these cognitive processes, we can develop more targeted strategies to keep pest management evolving. As agricultural landscapes become more fragmented and ecosystems face increasing pressure, tapping into the behavioural flexibility of amphibians and reptiles offers a promising path. Their cognitive abilities not only make them efficient bioregulators but also provide a natural, environmentally friendly alternative to chemical pesticides, aligning pest control with biodiversity conservation. The future of pest management lies in understanding and leveraging these animal behaviours for both ecological and agricultural benefits.

Link: https://royalsocietypublishing.org/doi/10.1098/rsos.240535

“Tiger frogs”: climate change might be mitigated by dispersal abilities and rice paddies

The lab’s latest publication focuses on Hoplobatrachus chinensis, a frog species that lives mainly in plains and hilly landscapes at altitudes between 20 and 1120 m. It is commonly found in moist habitats such as agricultural wetlands, ditches, and ponds in East and Southeast Asia. The species is generally present in rice paddies and their surrounding areas, as rice paddies provide the necessary conditions for development, growth, and breeding, such as shallow, slow-moving water bodies, surrounded by moist surface soils, abundant food sources, and adequate sheltering micro-habitat. In recent decades, due to human disturbance, over-harvesting, and ecological degradation, H. chinensis has declined sharply in population density and distribution area.

Geographic locations of Hoplobatrachus chinensis. A: H. chinensis adult, photograph by Vishal Kumar Prasad; B: H. chinensis eggs, photograph by Amaël Borzée.

Therefore, in order to explore the effects of climate change and dispersal ability on the range of H. chinensis and its occupation of agricultural wetlands, we use survey records and secondary sources (Global Biodiversity Information Facility database), together with climate, geography and vegetation data, to build environmental niche models in MaxEnt and dispersal models in MigClim to assess the impacts of climate change and dispersal ability on the range of H. chinensis. Based on the model results, we calculated the overlap between suitable habitats and agricultural wetlands.

Projected future potential suitable habitats for H. chinensis from 2021 to 2100 under four emissions scenarios. Classification of future potential suitable habitats was refined using ArcGIS 10.6 by maximum training sensitivity plus specificity thresholds (MTSS).

The models indicated that temperature was a key factor affecting H. chinensis distribution. Increasing temperatures positively correlated with habitat suitability, with suitable habitat expanding northward by 2060 while maintaining suitability in the southern parts of the range. We found a 25.18% overlap between the current potential suitable habitat of H. chinensis and agricultural wetlands. MigClim model indicated that H. chinensis might be able to track shifts in suitable habitats under climate change given a 15 km dispersal ability per generation. Climate change will likely expand suitable habitat for H. chinensis. Our predictions offer important guidance for the conservation of the species, especially for the integrated role of natural and agricultural wetlands such as rice paddies.

Projected overlap between the suitable habitat and agricultural wetlands under the current climate scenario for H. chinensis in East Asia. The overlap area was calculated using ArcGIS 10.6. A: Focus on Jiangsu, Anhui and Hubei in China; B: Guangxi, Guangdong and Hainan Island in China; C: Myanmar; D: Thailand, Cambodia, Lao PDR and Vietnam.

To read more, the paper is free to read at https://doi.org/10.1016/j.isci.2024.110732.
Highlights

Temperature is a key factor affecting the distribution of Hoplobatrachus chinensis

Climate change will expand the suitable habitat of Hoplobatrachus chinensis

The species has a 25% overlap between suitable habitats and agricultural wetlands

H. chinensis might be able to track shifts in suitable habitats under climate change

Indomalayan amphibians at home in Jiangsu

The lab’s latest publication started with a big green blob sitting next to a stream. The oversized leaf-colored lump was a Dennys’ large treefrog (Zhangixalus dennysi), a species of frog that was a real surprise for all of us there that night. The Chinese name for this species is 大树蛙, which translates literally to “big tree frog,” and these frogs certainly live up to the name, with the largest individuals exceeding ten centimeters in length. Their oversized feet and large toe pads are perfectly suited for a life in the trees, though the first one we encountered that night was hanging out next to the streambed. Their fingers and toes are even webbed to help them glide between branches.

The first Dennys’ large treefrog we encountered, photographed in situ by Kenneth Chin, a wildlife photographer and artist from Singapore who had joined us on the expedition.

Over several nights of surveys in the southernmost portion of Jiangsu Province in September 2023, the lab encountered several species of animal that we later realized had few or no previous records of in the province. All five of these species—four frogs and one snake—have larger ranges further south, but the extent of their distribution within Jiangsu Province was a mystery.

Four of the species encountered during our surveys. Photographs a, c, and d from Kenneth Chin; b from Zhenqi Wang.

The four frogs we encountered with limited documentation in Jiangsu Province: a) Dennys’ large treefrog (Zhangixalus dennysi) 大树蛙; b) white-lipped treefrog (Polypedates braueri) 布氏泛树蛙; c) broad-folded frog (Hylarana latouchii) 阔褶水蛙; d) Tianmu odorous frog (Odorrana tianmuii) 天目臭蛙. The snake (the brown spotted viper, Protobothrops mucrosquamatus, 原矛头蝮) is not pictured as it was less photogenic, having been killed and mutilated by people, unfortunately.

Using our own survey records, the existing locality records for these five species, and climate data on temperature and precipitation, we used environmental niche modeling to see how much other habitat in Jiangsu would be climatically suitable for these five species. 

The resulting suitability map for the broad-folded frog (Hylarana latouchii)阔褶水蛙, one of the five species we modeled, with a view of its entire range on the left and a close-up of Jiangsu Province on the right. Green indicates the minimum predicted threshold for viable habitat, with yellow and orange indicating moderately and highly suitable areas.

The models indicated that, at least from a purely climatic standpoint, there is more viable habitat for all four frog species within Jiangsu, so perhaps in the future they’ll be found even further north than we found them. The model for the viper species didn’t show suitable habitat within Jiangsu, but as the climate warms this subtropical species may work its way further north anyway. To view the maps for the other four species or read more details, the full paper is free to read at https://doi.org/10.3897/herpetozoa.37.e117370.